Forecast of Dynamic Fields and Impurity Dispersion in the Easternmost Part of the Black Sea

Main Article Content

Avtandil A. Kordzadze
Demuri I. Demetrashvili
Vepkhia G. Kukhalashvili

Abstract

An  advanced version of the regional short-term forecasting system for the easternmost  Black Sea, is presented. The forecasting system consists of hydrodynamic and ecological blocks. The hydrodynamic block includes a high-resolution 3D regional model of the Black Sea dynamics of M. Nodia Institute of Geophysics, but the ecological block consists of 2D and 3D models of spreading of oil and other admixtures in the sea environment. The regional forecasting system, which is one of the parts of the basin-scale Black Sea nowcasting/forecasting system, is functioning in the near real time and provides 3 days’ forecast of sea dynamic fields – the current, temperature and salinity with 1 km resolution, but in special situations the system will also provide to calculate impurity’s concentrations and pollution areas.

Keywords:
numerical simulation, forecasting system, pollution of Black Sea
Published: Jul 22, 2016

Article Details

How to Cite
Kordzadze, A. A., Demetrashvili, D. I., & Kukhalashvili, V. G. (2016). Forecast of Dynamic Fields and Impurity Dispersion in the Easternmost Part of the Black Sea. Journals of Georgian Geophysical Society, 18(19). Retrieved from https://ggs.openjournals.ge/index.php/GGS/article/view/1744
Section
Articles

References

Korotaev G. K., Oguz T., Dorofeev V. L., et al. Development of Black Sea nowcasting and forecasting system. Ocean Science, N 7, 2011, pp. 629-649.

Kubryakov A. I., Korotaev G. K., Dorofeev, V. L. et al. Black Sea coastal forecasting System. Ocean Science, N 8, 2012, pp.183-196.

Grigoriev A. V., Zatsepin A. G. Numerical modeling of water dynamics of Russian zone of the Black Sea within the framework of operational oceanography tasks. J. Georgian Geophys. Soc., v. 16B, 2013, pp. 138-157.

Kordzadze A., Demetrashvili D. Some results of forecast of hydrodynamic processes in the easternmost part of the Black Sea. J. Georgian Geoph. Soc, v. 14b, 2010, pp. 37- 52.

Kordzadze A. A., Demetrashvili D. I. Operational forecast of hydrophysical fields in the Georgian Black Sea coastal zone within the ECOOP. Ocean Science, N 7, 2011, pp.793- 803.

Kordzadze A. A., Demetrashvili D. I. Circulation processes in the easternmost part of the Black Sea in 2010-2012. J. Georgian Geophys. Soc, v. 14b, 2011-2012, pp.3-13. 7. 7. Kordzadze A. A., Demetrashvili D. I. Coastal forecasting system for the easternmost part of the Black Sea, Turkish Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, N12, 2012, pp. 471- 477.

Kordzadze A. A., Demetrashvili D. I. Short-range forecast of hydrophysical fields in the eastern part of the Black Sea, Izvestia AN, Fizika Atmosphery i Okeana, v. 49 (6), 2013, pp. 733-745 (in Russian).

Kordzadze A. A., Demetrashvili D. I. Simulation and forecast of oil spill transport processes in the Georgian Black Sea coastal zone using the regional forecasting system. J. Georgian Geophys. Soc., v. 17B, 2014.

Kordzadze A. A., Demetrashvili D. I., Kukhalashvili V. G. Easternmost Black Sea Regional Forecasting System. Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on the Mediterranean Coastal Environment – MEDCOAST 2015, 6-10 October, Varna, Bulgaria, 2015, pp. 769-780.

Dorofeev V. L., Korotaev G. K. Data assimilation of satellite altimetry in the eddy resolving model of the Black Sea circulation. Morskoi Gidrofizicheskiy Journal, N1, 2004, pp. 52-68 (in Russian).

Brozkova R., Derkova M., Bellus M., Farda A. Atmospheric forcing by ALADIN/MFSTEP and MFSTEP oriented tunings. Ocean Science, N2, 2006, pp. 113- 121.http://www.ocean-sci.net/2/113/2006.

Zilitinkevich S. S., Monin A. S. Turbulence in Dynamic Models of the Atmosphere. Leningrad, 1971, (in Russian).

Marchuk, G. I. Numerical Solution of Problems in Atmospheric and Oceanic Dynamics. Leningrad, Gidrometeoizdat, 1974, 303 p. (in Russian).

Marchuk, G. I. Mathematical Modeling in the Environment Problem. Moscow, Nauka, 1982, 320 p. (in Russian).

Korotenko K. A., Mamedov R. M., Mooers C. N. K. Prediction of the transport and dispersal of oil in the south Caspian Sea resulting from Blowouts. Environmental Fluid Mechanics, N 1(4), 2001, pp. 383-414.

Kordzadze A. A., Demetrashvili D. I., Surmava A. A. Numerical modeling of hydrophysical fields of the Black Sea under the conditions of alternation of atmospheric circulation processes, Izvestia AN, Fizika Atmosphery i Okeana, v. 44(2), 2008, pp. 213-224 (in Russian).